All briefingsInsights · Q3 2026

Quantum. North America and Europe.

Quantum has stopped being a physics problem. It is a systems-engineering problem.

RegionNorth America & Europe
SectorQuantum Technology
Length12 pages · 20-minute read
FormatA4 PDF · on request
I.

Quantum has crossed from physics problem to systems-engineering problem. In 2024, both Google's surface code (Willow, 105 qubits, below-threshold) and IBM's qLDPC bivariate bicycle code (Nature) demonstrated that error correction works. Scaling is now bottlenecked by classical decoding, cryogenic wiring, and modular interconnects — not by qubit count or coherence.

II.

The error-correction orthodoxy broke; the field gained optionality. Surface codes need ~1,500–2,000 physical qubits per logical qubit. IBM's qLDPC code achieves the same with 144. Quantinuum's Helios (Nov 2025) reached a 2:1 physical-to-logical ratio with trapped ions. Neutral atoms achieved 96 logical qubits with erasure-biased errors. The architecture race is now multi-track.

III.

Capital made its statement in 2025 — at scale and from new buyers. PsiQuantum: $1B Series E at $7B valuation. Quantinuum: $600M at $10B pre-money. IQM: $320M Series B unicorn. Infleqtion: SPAC IPO at $1.8B. NVIDIA invested in PsiQuantum and Quantinuum within one week. Jensen Huang publicly called quantum at an inflection point — reversing his earlier skepticism.

The argument continues across 2 further sections of the paper.

The full paper

The depth behind the thesis.

The page above is the argument. The paper is the evidence behind it: named transactions, sector-specific data, the regulatory references in full, and the closing position with its implications for capital allocation.

Twelve pages. Sent by email within one business day. By introduction, under standing confidentiality. The paper is not redistributed without permission.